FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.45 – 142.36

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.6 ±13.9

9658Camber

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 40.54Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 6.3Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 8.61Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.1 ±12.2

3676RedShift Robotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 28.07Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 89.85Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 24.44Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9658, 10904, 7091

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9658, 10904, 7091

Auto

16.1 31%

Teleop

10.2 20%

Endgame

25.1 49%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3676, 8515, 11132

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3676, 8515, 11132

Auto

44.5 32%

Teleop

61.0 44%

Endgame

32.5 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.5pts

Blue projected score142.4pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.9
Score range: 26–171
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 158.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.6Season APEX228.1

16.1Auto44.5

10.2Teleop61

25.1Endgame32.5

70Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	58
teleop	4	69
endgame	10	7
foul	0	15
total	33	149

Result

Final score

33 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree