Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
110.51 – 140.46
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
165 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 43 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 94.2Event APEX -4.75Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111Event APEX 109.09Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 6.17Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.1 ±11
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 37.23Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 77.69Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 25.54Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7616, 9512, 7091
49
/ 100 compatProjected
110.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7616, 9512, 7091
Auto
22.5 20%
Teleop
43.0 37%
Endgame
49.5 43%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2585, 2587, 3676
57
/ 100 compatProjected
140.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2585, 2587, 3676
Auto
19.8 14%
Teleop
75.5 54%
Endgame
43.8 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score110.5pts
Blue projected score140.5pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -29.9
- Score range
- 83–168
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
242.3Season APEX262.1
22.5Auto19.8
43Teleop75.5
49.5Endgame43.8
97Consistency41
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 26 |
| teleop | 81 | 89 |
| endgame | 42 | 57 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 165 | 172 |
Result
Final score
165 – 172
Prediction correct · off by 43 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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