FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.18 – 202.13

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184 ±12.8

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 13.35Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 27.19Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 19.64Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 428.3 ±11.2

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 69.39Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 132.02Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 0.72Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7691, 11132, 6488

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7691, 11132, 6488

Auto

10.3 17%

Teleop

46.8 77%

Endgame

3.5 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5427, 3847, 10904

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5427, 3847, 10904

Auto

47.6 23%

Teleop

121.8 59%

Endgame

36.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.2pts

Blue projected score202.1pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141.9
Score range: 32–230
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 156.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184Season APEX428.3

10.3Auto47.6

46.8Teleop121.8

3.5Endgame36.2

40Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	46
teleop	23	147
endgame	15	62
foul	0	15
total	59	270

Result

Final score

59 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree