FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

205.34 – 96.23

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

225 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.6 ±11.2

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 20.98Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 54.15Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 130.21Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.7 ±11.7

5986┌ Iron Fangs ┐

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 6.61Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 18.17Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 71.45Rank 7Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6488, 3481, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6488, 3481, 3847

Auto

31.6 15%

Teleop

122.8 59%

Endgame

54.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5986, 2969, 324

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5986, 2969, 324

Auto

22.3 26%

Teleop

8.3 10%

Endgame

55.6 65%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score205.3pts

Blue projected score96.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.1
Score range: 68–233
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 155.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.6Season APEX204.7

31.6Auto22.3

122.8Teleop8.3

54.7Endgame55.6

61Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	29
teleop	129	53
endgame	44	31
foul	0	0
total	225	113

Result

Final score

225 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree