FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.49 – 95.78

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

162 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.7 ±12.7

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 94.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5908Spartans

Season APEX 30.7Event APEX 23.23Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 42.4Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.6 ±14.4

3676RedShift Robotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 30.23Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3728Momentum

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 28.94Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 36.61Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8515, 5908, 9307

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8515, 5908, 9307

Auto

48.1 30%

Teleop

77.4 47%

Endgame

37.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3676, 3728, 4587

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3676, 3728, 4587

Auto

27.0 31%

Teleop

26.1 30%

Endgame

33.0 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.5pts

Blue projected score95.8pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.7
Score range: 68–188
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 156.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.7Season APEX165.6

48.1Auto27

77.4Teleop26.1

37.5Endgame33

86Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	18
teleop	104	19
endgame	17	30
foul	0	0
total	162	67

Result

Final score

162 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree