FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.65 – 100.42

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 24.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.3 ±15.8

3728Momentum

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 18.44Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5986┌ Iron Fangs ┐

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 11.11Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 28.1Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.7 ±11

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 18.21Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 33.68Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 48.53Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3728, 5986, 11132

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3728, 5986, 11132

Auto

22.0 46%

Teleop

14.0 29%

Endgame

11.5 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4587, 7691, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4587, 7691, 7312

Auto

20.1 20%

Teleop

53.9 55%

Endgame

24.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.7pts

Blue projected score100.4pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42.8
Score range: 26–132
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 177.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138.3Season APEX239.7

22Auto20.1

14Teleop53.9

11.5Endgame24.3

61Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	17
teleop	8	74
endgame	0	20
foul	0	0
total	19	111

Result

Final score

19 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 24.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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