FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.8 – 66.54

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

239 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.6 ±11.7

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 34.18Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 79.68Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 75.94Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.3 ±12.8

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 11.83Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 15.17Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 39.54Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9307, 2587, 231

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9307, 2587, 231

Auto

28.1 16%

Teleop

112.3 66%

Endgame

30.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7091, 11132, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7091, 11132, 7312

Auto

16.5 24%

Teleop

46.4 67%

Endgame

6.1 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score189.8pts

Blue projected score66.5pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.3
Score range: 39–218
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 324 vs event baseline 158.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.6Season APEX213.3

28.1Auto16.5

112.3Teleop46.4

30.7Endgame6.1

88Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	17
teleop	162	51
endgame	32	17
foul	5	0
total	239	85

Result

Final score

239 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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