FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.4 – 50.39

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

178 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±11.2

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 74.64Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 36.82Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9658Camber

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 33.94Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 134.3 ±13.3

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 41.28Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 3.78Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5986┌ Iron Fangs ┐

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 5.33Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2587, 11242, 9658

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2587, 11242, 9658

Auto

28.8 21%

Teleop

57.5 42%

Endgame

51.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4587, 10904, 5986

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4587, 10904, 5986

Auto

3.5 6%

Teleop

21.8 35%

Endgame

36.2 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.4pts

Blue projected score50.4pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95
Score range: 22–173
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 158.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.8Season APEX134.3

28.8Auto3.5

57.5Teleop21.8

51.9Endgame36.2

85Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	25
teleop	88	8
endgame	31	11
foul	15	0
total	178	44

Result

Final score

178 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree