FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.95 – 116.16

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 205.7 ±11.7

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 1.69Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 47.8Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 5.46Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.3 ±14.5

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 85.03Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3728Momentum

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 24.96Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 6.17Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11132, 3481, 2969

/ 100 compat

Projected

55 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11132, 3481, 2969

Auto

29.0 48%

Teleop

29.6 49%

Endgame

1.9 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5829, 3728, 6488

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5829, 3728, 6488

Auto

13.1 13%

Teleop

57.6 55%

Endgame

33.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55pts

Blue projected score116.2pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.2
Score range: 27–144
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 153.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

205.7Season APEX291.3

29Auto13.1

29.6Teleop57.6

1.9Endgame33.6

78Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	15
teleop	67	61
endgame	42	66
foul	0	0
total	134	142

Result

Final score

134 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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