FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.46 – 257.82

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.6 ±12.2

5908Spartans

Season APEX 30.7Event APEX 14.62Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 64.37Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 7.47Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 416.5 ±9.7

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 18.19Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9512Horsepower

Season APEX 111Event APEX 89.25Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 150.38Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5908, 5427, 7091

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5908, 5427, 7091

Auto

32.5 38%

Teleop

36.9 43%

Endgame

16.6 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7691, 9512, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7691, 9512, 118

Auto

56.2 21%

Teleop

134.2 50%

Endgame

78.9 29%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.5pts

Blue projected score257.8pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -171.4
Score range: 59–285
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 151.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.6Season APEX416.5

32.5Auto56.2

36.9Teleop134.2

16.6Endgame78.9

25Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	53
teleop	57	198
endgame	39	42
foul	0	15
total	134	308

Result

Final score

134 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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