FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.17 – 256.77

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 311

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.7 ±12.8

2882Nuts n' Boltz

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 39.32Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9181PlatyPirates

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -0.15Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 24Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.7 ±11

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 107.7Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 77.65Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 71.42Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2882, 9181, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2882, 9181, 7312

Auto

17.6 37%

Teleop

25.3 53%

Endgame

4.9 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8576, 8515, 3735

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8576, 8515, 3735

Auto

47.9 18%

Teleop

134.2 51%

Endgame

79.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.2pts

Blue projected score256.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -193.6
Score range: 36–284
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 150.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.7Season APEX373.7

17.6Auto47.9

25.3Teleop134.2

4.9Endgame79.7

154Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	74
teleop	40	165
endgame	16	72
foul	0	0
total	72	311

Result

Final score

72 – 311

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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