FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.88 – 125.82

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 49 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.2 ±10.4

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 55.82Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3676RedShift Robotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 5.01Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 23.05Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.6 ±11.2

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 15.62Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9658Camber

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 46.61Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 63.59Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 231, 3676, 7616

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 231, 3676, 7616

Auto

14.2 23%

Teleop

55.0 89%

Endgame

-7.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2969, 9658, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2969, 9658, 127

Auto

43.6 35%

Teleop

34.3 27%

Endgame

47.5 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.9pts

Blue projected score125.8pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.9
Score range: 57–153
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 151.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.2Season APEX202.6

14.2Auto43.6

55Teleop34.3

-7.6Endgame47.5

84Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	21
teleop	70	41
endgame	53	24
foul	0	0
total	142	86

Result

Final score

142 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 49 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.