FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.56 – 110.79

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 89

Prediction missed · off by 34.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.7 ±15.3

9512Horsepower

Season APEX 111Event APEX 73.66Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 5.88Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3728Momentum

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 24.02Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.7 ±13.9

2882Nuts n' Boltz

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 35.22Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9307Spicy Chihuahuas

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 54.06Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 21.51Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9512, 10904, 3728

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9512, 10904, 3728

Auto

11.3 11%

Teleop

36.0 35%

Endgame

54.4 53%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2882, 9307, 6488

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2882, 9307, 6488

Auto

20.0 22%

Teleop

58.6 65%

Endgame

11.7 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.6pts

Blue projected score110.8pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.2
Score range: 77–138
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 147.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.7Season APEX182.7

11.3Auto20

36Teleop58.6

54.4Endgame11.7

34Consistency147

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	20
teleop	73	32
endgame	30	37
foul	0	0
total	150	89

Result

Final score

150 – 89

Prediction missed · off by 34.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.