FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.99 – 195.43

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.4 ±12.2

5070Gearnotics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 26.61Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 44.37Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 62.01Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.2 ±11.2

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 107.83Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 70.9Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 16.7Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5070, 3481, 4587

/ 100 compat

Projected

133 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5070, 3481, 4587

Auto

15.3 12%

Teleop

68.2 53%

Endgame

45.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5829, 3735, 7091

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5829, 3735, 7091

Auto

20.5 11%

Teleop

109.9 57%

Endgame

61.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133pts

Blue projected score195.4pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.4
Score range: 106–222
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 277 vs event baseline 147.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.4Season APEX334.2

15.3Auto20.5

68.2Teleop109.9

45.8Endgame61.7

27Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	27
teleop	74	74
endgame	19	56
foul	0	0
total	120	157

Result

Final score

120 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.