FIT District Space City @ Friendswood Event #2

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.17 – 71.5

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

185 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.1 ±11.7

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 77.55Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 78.05Rank 7Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 9.57Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282 ±11.1

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 13.24Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 47.72Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5908Spartans

Season APEX 30.7Event APEX 10.54Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2587, 324, 11132

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2587, 324, 11132

Auto

32.1 19%

Teleop

84.2 49%

Endgame

53.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2585, 11242, 5908

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2585, 11242, 5908

Auto

17.3 25%

Teleop

41.4 59%

Endgame

11.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.2pts

Blue projected score71.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.7
Score range: 45–192
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 148.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312.1Season APEX282

32.1Auto17.3

84.2Teleop41.4

53.9Endgame11.5

49Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	35
teleop	102	34
endgame	19	20
foul	30	0
total	185	89

Result

Final score

185 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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