Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
207.78 – 73.87
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
271 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 36.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 474.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 117.97Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 20.88Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 68.93Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 21.24Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 52.16Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 0.47Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3847, 7312, 8515
84
/ 100 compatProjected
207.8 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3847, 7312, 8515
Auto
47.5 22%
Teleop
121.1 55%
Endgame
49.7 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6488, 9658, 9181
44
/ 100 compatProjected
73.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6488, 9658, 9181
Auto
8.6 13%
Teleop
44.3 68%
Endgame
12.7 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score207.8pts
Blue projected score73.9pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 133.9
- Score range
- 47–235
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
474.9Season APEX161.9
47.5Auto8.6
121.1Teleop44.3
49.7Endgame12.7
128Consistency148
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 17 |
| teleop | 159 | 24 |
| endgame | 48 | 18 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 271 | 64 |
Result
Final score
271 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 36.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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