Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
133.21 – 167.83
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
135 – 217
Prediction correct · off by 25.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 39.81Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 74.19Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 19.21Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 111Event APEX 67.17Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 12.15Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 88.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5427, 127, 3676
63
/ 100 compatProjected
133.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5427, 127, 3676
Auto
28.6 22%
Teleop
59.2 45%
Endgame
43.0 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9512, 5070, 5829
68
/ 100 compatProjected
167.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9512, 5070, 5829
Auto
19.5 12%
Teleop
88.0 56%
Endgame
50.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score133.2pts
Blue projected score167.8pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -34.6
- Score range
- 106–195
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
310.2Season APEX331.9
28.6Auto19.5
59.2Teleop88
43Endgame50.6
123Consistency69
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 30 |
| teleop | 78 | 124 |
| endgame | 14 | 48 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 135 | 217 |
Result
Final score
135 – 217
Prediction correct · off by 25.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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