Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
169.46 – 97.05
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
182 – 110
Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 6.15Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 156.38Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 6.93Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 40.83Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 12.52Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 43.7Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7091, 118, 3676
71
/ 100 compatProjected
169.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7091, 118, 3676
Auto
26.4 16%
Teleop
101.6 61%
Endgame
38.5 23%
Strengths
- · 118 anchors offense
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 11242, 6488, 5427
55
/ 100 compatProjected
97.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 11242, 6488, 5427
Auto
31.1 30%
Teleop
49.2 48%
Endgame
22.4 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score169.5pts
Blue projected score97.1pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 72.4
- Score range
- 69–197
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
339.3Season APEX370.2
26.4Auto31.1
101.6Teleop49.2
38.5Endgame22.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 15 |
| teleop | 78 | 82 |
| endgame | 64 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 182 | 110 |
Result
Final score
182 – 110
Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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