Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 112.14
19%81%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
23 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 14.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 125.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 32.9Event APEX -15.32Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 0.88Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 8.65Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 24.67Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 43.63Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 43.84Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5986, 5070, 9181
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-5.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5986, 5070, 9181
Auto
4.8 0%
Teleop
-30.2 100%
Endgame
7.6 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2585, 9307, 3481
54
/ 100 compatProjected
112.1 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2585, 9307, 3481
Auto
16.1 14%
Teleop
71.6 64%
Endgame
24.4 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-5.8pts
Blue projected score112.1pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -112.1
- Score range
- -29–141
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
125.6Season APEX252.7
4.8Auto16.1
-30.2Teleop71.6
7.6Endgame24.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 21 |
| teleop | 12 | 55 |
| endgame | 7 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 23 | 106 |
Result
Final score
23 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 14.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.