Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
129.38 – 148.91
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
268 – 224
Prediction missed · off by 106.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 32.17Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 29.27Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 67.94Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.3 ±12.4
Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 24.66Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 17.12Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 107.13Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 127, 3735, 2587
61
/ 100 compatProjected
129.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 127, 3735, 2587
Auto
19.4 15%
Teleop
77.9 59%
Endgame
35.0 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9658, 11132, 3847
67
/ 100 compatProjected
148.9 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9658, 11132, 3847
Auto
35.9 26%
Teleop
78.2 57%
Endgame
22.9 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score129.4pts
Blue projected score148.9pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19.5
- Score range
- 102–176
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
356.1Season APEX349.3
19.4Auto35.9
77.9Teleop78.2
35Endgame22.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 40 |
| teleop | 122 | 154 |
| endgame | 99 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 268 | 224 |
Result
Final score
268 – 224
Prediction missed · off by 106.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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