Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
100.39 – 109.91
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
137 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 36.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 19.11Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 28.24Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 53.04Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 6.26Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 17.22Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 86.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9080, 6672, 2687
56
/ 100 compatProjected
100.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9080, 6672, 2687
Auto
20.4 22%
Teleop
52.5 56%
Endgame
20.6 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9121, 2714, 2881
58
/ 100 compatProjected
109.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9121, 2714, 2881
Auto
17.3 16%
Teleop
62.5 58%
Endgame
27.9 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score100.4pts
Blue projected score109.9pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -9.5
- Score range
- 79–131
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
225.5Season APEX397.8
20.4Auto17.3
52.5Teleop62.5
20.6Endgame27.9
11Consistency4
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 5 |
| teleop | 80 | 33 |
| endgame | 28 | 35 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 137 | 73 |
Result
Final score
137 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 36.8 pts
Match videos
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