Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
73.21 – 62.9
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
91 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 40.9 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 572 ±10.7
Season APEX 38Event APEX 18.06Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 34.29Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 20.86Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.2 ±11.1
Season APEX 91Event APEX 8.29Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 23.18Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 31.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6171, 1296, 8749
56
/ 100 compatProjected
73.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6171, 1296, 8749
Auto
10.0 14%
Teleop
39.2 56%
Endgame
21.2 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 436, 5103, 2881
53
/ 100 compatProjected
62.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 436, 5103, 2881
Auto
13.0 21%
Teleop
28.9 46%
Endgame
21.0 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score73.2pts
Blue projected score62.9pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 10.3
- Score range
- 45–91
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
572Season APEX362.2
10Auto13
39.2Teleop28.9
21.2Endgame21
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 21 |
| teleop | 34 | 78 |
| endgame | 22 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 91 | 127 |
Result
Final score
91 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 40.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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