Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.93 – 119.81

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 264 ±12.2

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 9.65Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9080ENIGMA

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 19.45Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 34.83Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.8 ±11.2

9418Pastabots

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 31.01Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4364Metal Jackets

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 0.41Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 88.39Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9121, 9080, 11178

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9121, 9080, 11178

Auto

4.8 9%

Teleop

31.7 56%

Endgame

19.7 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9418, 4364, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9418, 4364, 2881

Auto

17.8 16%

Teleop

72.0 63%

Endgame

23.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.9pts

Blue projected score119.8pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.9
Score range: 43–141
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 220 vs event baseline 115.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

264Season APEX388.8

4.8Auto17.8

31.7Teleop72

19.7Endgame23.9

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	17
teleop	27	72
endgame	11	57
foul	15	0
total	74	146

Result

Final score

74 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree