Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

216.81 – 66.52

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

298 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.1 ±9.8

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 7.47Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 157.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 51.86Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.2 ±12.4

5986┌ Iron Fangs ┐

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 10.54Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 23.33Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 32.65Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6526, 2468, 418

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6526, 2468, 418

Auto

48.5 23%

Teleop

111.2 53%

Endgame

50.7 24%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5986, 7271, 10014

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5986, 7271, 10014

Auto

23.4 35%

Teleop

18.8 28%

Endgame

24.8 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score216.8pts

Blue projected score66.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 150.3
Score range: 46–238
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 115.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.1Season APEX318.2

48.5Auto23.4

111.2Teleop18.8

50.7Endgame24.8

11Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	16
teleop	157	16
endgame	83	12
foul	0	0
total	298	44

Result

Final score

298 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree