Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.29 – 264.3

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.9 ±9.8

9418Pastabots

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 29.64Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 14.12Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 74.53Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 760.5 ±8.7

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 134.01Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 93.86Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 36.43Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9418, 8769, 624

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9418, 8769, 624

Auto

15.7 14%

Teleop

70.6 62%

Endgame

27.6 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 148, 2881, 8749

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 148, 2881, 8749

Auto

40.7 16%

Teleop

153.3 59%

Endgame

63.8 25%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.3pts

Blue projected score264.3pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -146
Score range: 97–285
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 114.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

404.9Season APEX760.5

15.7Auto40.7

70.6Teleop153.3

27.6Endgame63.8

8Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	12
teleop	80	106
endgame	25	76
foul	5	15
total	113	209

Result

Final score

113 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree