Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.51 – 218.38

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.3 ±12.8

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 6.12Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9080ENIGMA

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 17.2Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 16.19Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.2 ±9.8

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 38.27Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 29.31Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 150.8Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6171, 9080, 2714

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6171, 9080, 2714

Auto

-1.6 0%

Teleop

24.8 61%

Endgame

17.5 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9506, 11178, 2468

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9506, 11178, 2468

Auto

44.8 22%

Teleop

103.4 51%

Endgame

54.0 27%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.5pts

Blue projected score218.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.9
Score range: 19–239
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 113.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.3Season APEX592.2

-1.6Auto44.8

24.8Teleop103.4

17.5Endgame54

6Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	51
teleop	24	151
endgame	2	85
foul	0	0
total	45	287

Result

Final score

45 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree