Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.96 – 222.32

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.3 ±11

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 20.93Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 62.78Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2728♨️ TACO ♨️

Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 30.25Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 421.1 ±9.8

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 126.96Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 11.07Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 84.29Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2789, 2687, 2728

/ 100 compat

Projected

114 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2789, 2687, 2728

Auto

23.0 21%

Teleop

53.1 49%

Endgame

32.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1296, 6526, 2689

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1296, 6526, 2689

Auto

56.0 26%

Teleop

114.9 53%

Endgame

46.1 21%

Strengths

· 1296 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114pts

Blue projected score222.3pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108.4
Score range: 94–242
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 113.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.3Season APEX421.1

23Auto56

53.1Teleop114.9

32.8Endgame46.1

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	56
teleop	67	84
endgame	35	22
foul	0	10
total	137	172

Result

Final score

137 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree