Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.91 – 120.87

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 10.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 496.8 ±10.5

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 30.61Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 134.95Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 22.35Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.1 ±11.7

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 64.96Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 6.62Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 49.29Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11178, 148, 2789

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11178, 148, 2789

Auto

26.9 15%

Teleop

102.0 56%

Endgame

54.0 30%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2687, 6171, 418

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2687, 6171, 418

Auto

21.8 19%

Teleop

75.2 66%

Endgame

17.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score187.9pts

Blue projected score120.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67
Score range: 100–209
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 114.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

496.8Season APEX210.1

26.9Auto21.8

102Teleop75.2

54Endgame17.7

2Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	31
teleop	62	43
endgame	61	27
foul	40	10
total	177	111

Result

Final score

177 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 10.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree