Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.41 – 159.97

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.5 ±10.4

9418Pastabots

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 32.78Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 18.51Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 13.12Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.3 ±11.1

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 123.26Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 29.73Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 6.98Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9418, 2714, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9418, 2714, 6526

Auto

6.9 12%

Teleop

28.2 50%

Endgame

21.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1296, 436, 9121

/ 100 compat

Projected

160 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1296, 436, 9121

Auto

24.8 16%

Teleop

82.5 52%

Endgame

51.1 32%

Strengths

· 1296 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.4pts

Blue projected score160pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.6
Score range: 43–181
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 246 vs event baseline 114.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.5Season APEX381.3

6.9Auto24.8

28.2Teleop82.5

21.7Endgame51.1

32Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	32
teleop	9	115
endgame	21	42
foul	0	15
total	42	204

Result

Final score

42 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree