Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.4 – 68.91

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 438 ±9.8

2728♨️ TACO ♨️

Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 21.96Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 69.2Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 76.24Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.6 ±12.8

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 25.67Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 2.05Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 41.19Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2728, 624, 2689

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2728, 624, 2689

Auto

52.4 31%

Teleop

86.6 51%

Endgame

31.8 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7271, 7125, 9506

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7271, 7125, 9506

Auto

17.3 26%

Teleop

28.9 43%

Endgame

20.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167.4pts

Blue projected score68.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.5
Score range: 48–188
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 114.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

438Season APEX182.6

52.4Auto17.3

86.6Teleop28.9

31.8Endgame20.6

12Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	15
teleop	148	15
endgame	63	19
foul	0	5
total	250	54

Result

Final score

250 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree