Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.23 – 194.01

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.2 ±12.2

4610BearTecs

Season APEX 22.7Event APEX 14.24Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 23.98Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 8.01Rank 33Record 0-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.1 ±11.2

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 155.17Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 18.28Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9080ENIGMA

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 20.56Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4610, 6672, 3240

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4610, 6672, 3240

Auto

10.4 32%

Teleop

17.5 53%

Endgame

5.1 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2468, 8769, 9080

/ 100 compat

Projected

194 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2468, 8769, 9080

Auto

40.0 21%

Teleop

96.5 50%

Endgame

55.3 29%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.2pts

Blue projected score194pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.8
Score range: 25–215
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 114.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.2Season APEX441.1

10.4Auto40

17.5Teleop96.5

5.1Endgame55.3

16Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	8
teleop	44	113
endgame	16	40
foul	10	10
total	86	171

Result

Final score

86 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree