Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

245.5 – 156.24

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

333 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 556.4 ±10.7

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 123.46Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 114.03Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 8.01Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 595.8 ±9.3

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 94.9Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 35.35Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 25.99Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 148, 1296, 9786

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 148, 1296, 9786

Auto

35.1 15%

Teleop

132.8 57%

Endgame

64.9 28%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2881, 10014, 2714

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2881, 10014, 2714

Auto

17.2 11%

Teleop

94.8 61%

Endgame

43.0 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score245.5pts

Blue projected score156.2pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.3
Score range: 136–266
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 112.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

556.4Season APEX595.8

35.1Auto17.2

132.8Teleop94.8

64.9Endgame43

28Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	41
teleop	200	34
endgame	82	49
foul	5	10
total	333	134

Result

Final score

333 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree