Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

127.8 – 48.93

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.5 ±11.2

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 67.43Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 32.42Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 27.95Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167 ±12.2

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 46.04Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 2.38Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 0.51Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 624, 11178, 7271

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 624, 11178, 7271

Auto

33.5 26%

Teleop

74.6 59%

Endgame

19.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 418, 9121, 7125

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 418, 9121, 7125

Auto

9.6 20%

Teleop

25.0 51%

Endgame

14.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.8pts

Blue projected score48.9pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.9
Score range: 29–148
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 112.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.5Season APEX167

33.5Auto9.6

74.6Teleop25

19Endgame14.4

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	69	53
endgame	47	28
foul	15	0
total	142	96

Result

Final score

142 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree