Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.51 – 135.69

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±11.2

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 0.55Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 24.12Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 17.84Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320 ±10.4

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 37.26Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 36.86Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 61.57Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7125, 8749, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7125, 8749, 6526

Auto

22.6 61%

Teleop

3.4 9%

Endgame

11.1 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2714, 6672, 2687

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2714, 6672, 2687

Auto

13.7 11%

Teleop

68.0 56%

Endgame

40.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42.5pts

Blue projected score135.7pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.2
Score range: 23–156
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 143 vs event baseline 108.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.2Season APEX320

22.6Auto13.7

3.4Teleop68

11.1Endgame40.1

75Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	26
teleop	25	55
endgame	9	6
foul	0	0
total	56	87

Result

Final score

56 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree