Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
8.36 – 57.9
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
31 – 53
Prediction correct · off by 13.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 31.5Event APEX -0.11Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.3Event APEX -0.74Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39Event APEX 9.21Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.4 ±11
Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 21.08Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 196Event APEX 19.04Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 17.78Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7125, 10518, 5503
5
/ 100 compatProjected
8.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7125, 10518, 5503
Auto
17.6 100%
Teleop
-15.6 0%
Endgame
1.4 41%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6526, 11178, 436
40
/ 100 compatProjected
57.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6526, 11178, 436
Auto
11.9 24%
Teleop
17.3 35%
Endgame
19.9 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score8.4pts
Blue projected score57.9pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -49.5
- Score range
- -12–78
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
126.8Season APEX339.4
17.6Auto11.9
-15.6Teleop17.3
1.4Endgame19.9
55Consistency37
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 21 |
| teleop | 15 | 20 |
| endgame | 11 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 31 | 53 |
Result
Final score
31 – 53
Prediction correct · off by 13.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree