Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

67.84 – 32.36

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 21.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 125.3 ±13.3

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 51.88Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 13.12Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 2.84Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.1 ±12.8

9080ENIGMA

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 30.33Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 22.09Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4364Metal Jackets

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX -20.06Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7271, 9121, 6171

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7271, 9121, 6171

Auto

6.6 10%

Teleop

35.6 53%

Endgame

24.8 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9080, 6526, 4364

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9080, 6526, 4364

Auto

10.7 33%

Teleop

11.3 35%

Endgame

10.3 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.8pts

Blue projected score32.4pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.5
Score range: 12–88
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 111.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

125.3Season APEX132.1

6.6Auto10.7

35.6Teleop11.3

24.8Endgame10.3

26Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	9
teleop	23	13
endgame	0	18
foul	0	0
total	32	40

Result

Final score

32 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 21.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree