Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

140.85 – 291.54

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.1 ±11.2

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 44.99Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 88.93Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 6.93Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 646.1 ±9.3

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 143.67Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 83.17Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 64.7Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6672, 1296, 7125

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6672, 1296, 7125

Auto

29.2 21%

Teleop

80.9 57%

Endgame

31.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2468, 2881, 2689

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2468, 2881, 2689

Auto

72.7 25%

Teleop

156.4 54%

Endgame

62.1 21%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.9pts

Blue projected score291.5pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -150.7
Score range: 122–311
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 401 vs event baseline 107.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415.1Season APEX646.1

29.2Auto72.7

80.9Teleop156.4

31.9Endgame62.1

21Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	79
teleop	52	152
endgame	17	41
foul	30	0
total	129	272

Result

Final score

129 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree