Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.89 – 69.03

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 81

Prediction missed · off by 12.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±13.3

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 46.67Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 7.94Rank 33Record 0-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 22.28Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.7 ±10.4

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 8.17Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 38.37Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9418Pastabots

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 22.49Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7271, 3240, 436

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7271, 3240, 436

Auto

13.5 17%

Teleop

33.5 43%

Endgame

31.5 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10518, 2687, 9418

/ 100 compat

Projected

69 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10518, 2687, 9418

Auto

12.8 24%

Teleop

27.4 52%

Endgame

12.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.9pts

Blue projected score69pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.9
Score range: 50–96
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 108.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.3Season APEX234.7

13.5Auto12.8

33.5Teleop27.4

31.5Endgame12.7

82Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	22
teleop	19	49
endgame	11	10
foul	15	0
total	64	81

Result

Final score

64 – 81

Prediction missed · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.