Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.02 – 198.79

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 67.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.5 ±11.7

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 58.87Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4364Metal Jackets

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX -14.39Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 20.54Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.4 ±11.2

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 37.64Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 130.03Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 31.12Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2714, 4364, 10518

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2714, 4364, 10518

Auto

20.6 31%

Teleop

37.4 57%

Endgame

7.8 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7271, 2468, 6672

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7271, 2468, 6672

Auto

27.0 14%

Teleop

99.9 53%

Endgame

61.7 33%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65pts

Blue projected score198.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.8
Score range: 47–217
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 101.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.5Season APEX485.4

20.6Auto27

37.4Teleop99.9

7.8Endgame61.7

0Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	59
teleop	2	157
endgame	0	68
foul	0	0
total	16	284

Result

Final score

16 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 67.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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