Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

1.97 – 149.79

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 102.4 ±13.9

5986┌ Iron Fangs ┐

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX -14.96Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX -4.93Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 21.86Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.7 ±11

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 55.02Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 49.83Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 44.94Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5986, 7125, 6171

/ 100 compat

Projected

2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5986, 7125, 6171

Auto

12.4 100%

Teleop

-2.5 0%

Endgame

-2.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2687, 9121, 8769

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2687, 9121, 8769

Auto

20.6 14%

Teleop

73.9 50%

Endgame

52.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score2pts

Blue projected score149.8pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.8
Score range: -17–169
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 104.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

102.4Season APEX187.7

12.4Auto20.6

-2.5Teleop73.9

-2.5Endgame52.1

144Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	21
teleop	6	41
endgame	10	3
foul	0	0
total	31	65

Result

Final score

31 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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