Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.5 – 194.49

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

103 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 111.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.2 ±11

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 36.31Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5503Smithville Tiger Trons

Season APEX 39Event APEX -3.2Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 2.39Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 693.6 ±9.3

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 83.98Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 78.85Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 31.66Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2687, 5503, 436

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2687, 5503, 436

Auto

0.6 2%

Teleop

15.0 52%

Endgame

13.2 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 148, 2468, 2714

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 148, 2468, 2714

Auto

53.7 29%

Teleop

90.2 48%

Endgame

42.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.5pts

Blue projected score194.5pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -159
Score range: 18–212
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 99.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.2Season APEX693.6

0.6Auto53.7

15Teleop90.2

13.2Endgame42.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	38
teleop	47	212
endgame	35	95
foul	0	5
total	103	350

Result

Final score

103 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 111.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.