Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
16.4 – 33.03
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
108 – 43
Prediction missed · off by 50.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 13.55Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106Event APEX 25.52Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.5Event APEX -22.67Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 1.87Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 37.2Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 25.6Event APEX -6.04Rank 33Record 0-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10014, 2689, 7125
19
/ 100 compatProjected
16.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10014, 2689, 7125
Auto
11.7 38%
Teleop
3.3 11%
Endgame
15.5 51%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8749, 8769, 3240
33
/ 100 compatProjected
33 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8749, 8769, 3240
Auto
21.4 48%
Teleop
12.4 28%
Endgame
10.4 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score16.4pts
Blue projected score33pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -16.6
- Score range
- -3–52
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
363.1Season APEX392.8
11.7Auto21.4
3.3Teleop12.4
15.5Endgame10.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 2 |
| teleop | 45 | 11 |
| endgame | 12 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 108 | 43 |
Result
Final score
108 – 43
Prediction missed · off by 50.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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