Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.05 – 61.99

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.4 ±9.8

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 119.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 30.13Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 94.56Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140.8 ±11

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 14.65Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 19.85Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 27.49Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3310, 11200, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3310, 11200, 4206

Auto

42.9 18%

Teleop

151.5 63%

Endgame

47.1 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8732, 9492, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

62 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8732, 9492, 6526

Auto

20.4 33%

Teleop

22.1 36%

Endgame

18.9 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score244.1pts

Blue projected score62pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182.1
Score range: 38–268
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 369 vs event baseline 133.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.4Season APEX140.8

42.9Auto20.4

151.5Teleop22.1

47.1Endgame18.9

38Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	14
teleop	135	66
endgame	91	35
foul	0	0
total	254	115

Result

Final score

254 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Match videos

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