Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.41 – 152.54

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 19 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166 ±11.6

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 20.99Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 21.47Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7540Timberwolf Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 40.95Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±10.4

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 87.34Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 20.42Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 44.78Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10312, 4153, 7540

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10312, 4153, 7540

Auto

20.0 24%

Teleop

42.0 50%

Endgame

21.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4063, 5411, 9136

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4063, 5411, 9136

Auto

27.6 18%

Teleop

88.4 57%

Endgame

37.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.4pts

Blue projected score152.5pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.1
Score range: 59–177
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 130.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166Season APEX231.2

20Auto27.6

42Teleop88.4

21.9Endgame37.8

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	14
teleop	41	47
endgame	8	64
foul	0	0
total	73	125

Result

Final score

73 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 19 pts

Match videos

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