Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
230.27 – 152.36
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
307 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 83 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 114.65Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 26.73Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 88.89Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 89.21Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 18.62Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 44.53Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3310, 11200, 4206
80
/ 100 compatProjected
230.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3310, 11200, 4206
Auto
39.9 17%
Teleop
137.9 60%
Endgame
50.7 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4063, 5411, 9136
65
/ 100 compatProjected
152.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4063, 5411, 9136
Auto
25.3 17%
Teleop
85.4 56%
Endgame
42.2 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score230.3pts
Blue projected score152.4pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 77.9
- Score range
- 127–255
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
391.4Season APEX231.2
39.9Auto25.3
137.9Teleop85.4
50.7Endgame42.2
37Consistency27
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 36 |
| teleop | 173 | 14 |
| endgame | 85 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 307 | 63 |
Result
Final score
307 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 83 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.