Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.9 – 147.91

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.8 ±11

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 20.05Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 25.96Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 31.89Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±10.4

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 87.8Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 17.04Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 43.07Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8732, 9492, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8732, 9492, 6526

Auto

18.2 25%

Teleop

33.4 46%

Endgame

21.7 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4063, 5411, 9136

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4063, 5411, 9136

Auto

24.9 17%

Teleop

82.1 55%

Endgame

41.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.9pts

Blue projected score147.9pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70
Score range: 53–173
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 136.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.8Season APEX231.2

18.2Auto24.9

33.4Teleop82.1

21.7Endgame41.6

54Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	28
teleop	50	108
endgame	12	46
foul	0	0
total	73	182

Result

Final score

73 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts

Match videos

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