Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.02 – 52.73
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
144 – 24
Prediction correct · off by 43.4 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX -5.12Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 9.71Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 81.43Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 121 ±14.4
Season APEX 29.9Event APEX 18.21Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 9.71Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 24.81Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7540, 7271, 4192
58
/ 100 compatProjected
86 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7540, 7271, 4192
Auto
14.5 17%
Teleop
47.5 56%
Endgame
22.6 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6768, 11469, 10994
48
/ 100 compatProjected
52.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6768, 11469, 10994
Auto
10.4 19%
Teleop
28.1 52%
Endgame
15.6 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86pts
Blue projected score52.7pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 33.3
- Score range
- 32–107
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
200.7Season APEX121
14.5Auto10.4
47.5Teleop28.1
22.6Endgame15.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 15 |
| teleop | 67 | 4 |
| endgame | 49 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 144 | 24 |
Result
Final score
144 – 24
Prediction correct · off by 43.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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