Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

278.73 – 59.69

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

335 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.7 ±10

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 24.34Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 211.57Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 42.82Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 131.7 ±13.3

2657Team Thundercats

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 17.83Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 24.83Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 17.03Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6974, 6369, 9136

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6974, 6369, 9136

Auto

45.7 16%

Teleop

158.3 57%

Endgame

75.4 27%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2657, 9105, 7271

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2657, 9105, 7271

Auto

19.1 32%

Teleop

30.1 50%

Endgame

10.6 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score278.7pts

Blue projected score59.7pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 219
Score range: 37–302
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 128.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

404.7Season APEX131.7

45.7Auto19.1

158.3Teleop30.1

75.4Endgame10.6

34Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	13
teleop	221	24
endgame	59	11
foul	0	0
total	335	48

Result

Final score

335 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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