Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
244.23 – 126.96
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
257 – 170
Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.6 ±13.5
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 87.9Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 152.11Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 29.9Event APEX 4.22Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±14.5
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 90.9Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 25.09Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 19Event APEX 10.97Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4063, 6773, 6768
85
/ 100 compatProjected
244.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4063, 6773, 6768
Auto
51.0 22%
Teleop
128.6 56%
Endgame
49.9 22%
Strengths
- · 6773 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4206, 8528, 8512
60
/ 100 compatProjected
127 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4206, 8528, 8512
Auto
19.7 15%
Teleop
77.3 59%
Endgame
33.3 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score244.2pts
Blue projected score127pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 117.3
- Score range
- 104–267
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
362.6Season APEX278.7
51Auto19.7
128.6Teleop77.3
49.9Endgame33.3
57Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 20 |
| teleop | 197 | 102 |
| endgame | 18 | 48 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 257 | 170 |
Result
Final score
257 – 170
Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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