Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.88 – 62.23

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

87 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 305 ±9.8

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 99.77Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 23.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 31.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±12.7

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 19.8Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8528AstroChimps

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 29.03Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5613ThunderDogs

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 13.4Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4206, 10994, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4206, 10994, 6526

Auto

26.2 17%

Teleop

88.5 58%

Endgame

37.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8732, 8528, 5613

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8732, 8528, 5613

Auto

10.5 17%

Teleop

28.4 47%

Endgame

21.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.9pts

Blue projected score62.2pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.7
Score range: 36–181
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 143.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

305Season APEX137.3

26.2Auto10.5

88.5Teleop28.4

37.8Endgame21.2

10Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	12
teleop	48	32
endgame	15	8
foul	0	5
total	87	57

Result

Final score

87 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.